Future-proofing measurement. Marketing opportunities
Opportunities for marketers in the era of signal loss
In June 2024, Google announced a U-turn on cookie deprecation; read our view on what this means here. This change in direction should be viewed as an opportunity, as there is now more time to prepare against ongoing loss in data signals.
Context: The countdown to signal loss.
The trend for consumer privacy started in 2018 with GDPR. Next came Google’s 2020 announcement that third-party cookies would be obsolete by 2022 (though this now looks like it may not happen).
In 2021, Apple introduced App Tracking Transparency (ATT) and SKAN.
Despite the recent Google announcement, we still expect 2025 to be a pivotal year for media measurement. With this in mind, it is still essential that digital marketers begin to prepare for managing and measuring their campaigns while they have data available rather than delay until signal loss has occurred.
Potential Opportunities
- A new world of measurement is ahead.
There is no panacea for media measurement. Instead, effective measurement requires a combination of the following methods, which together make up a recommended ‘measurement trifecta’:
- Attribution – still required for ‘in channel’ optimization.
- Incrementality Testing – identifies campaign impact.
- Media Mix Modeling – enables strategic decision-making and planning, such as which channels to up weight and when.
Embracing this ‘Measurement Trifecta’ allows advertisers to make informed tactical and strategic decisions and gain deeper insights into their media performance.
The benefits of having a Measurement Trifecta approach for advertisers include:
- Understanding the true, incremental impact of media campaigns
- Enabling refinement and optimization of media mix for both short and long-term impact
- Understanding the impact of both offline and online media through one unified measurement approach
- Optimizing and predicting the impact of your media campaigns before they go live
“With all three solutions in place, marketers can optimize their within-channel tactics alongside their strategic cross-channel budgeting decisions.” Dane Buchanan.
2. Google Privacy Sandbox will become embedded.
Cutting out identifiers will significantly change the ‘traditional’ structure of advertising. Advertisers can access Google Privacy Sandbox for measurement and attribution, personalization, and segmentation.
Google’s Privacy Sandbox initiative aims to create technologies that protect people’s privacy online and provide advertisers and developers with the tools to target and measure advertising effectively. Current cross-site and cross-app tracking mechanisms, which use third-party cookies and Google Advertising ID (GAID), will be replaced with a suite of privacy-preserving APIs. Privacy Sandbox aims to develop effective solutions that do not require device-level identifiers and limit user-level tracking across different developers’ apps. Given the collaborative development of Google Privacy Initiatives, all areas discussed are subject to change over the coming years.
How to prepare for Privacy Sandbox:
- Stay up to date with the latest GooglePrivacy Sandbox changes here.
- Work with your media agency & a trusted Media Measurement Partner (MMP) to understand the implications of any changes and new developments to the Privacy Sandbox. Staying on top of developments is essential, and your media agency should be able to provide all the help needed.
- Collaborate with ad-tech partners for a smooth transition to the Privacy Sandbox.
- Have your development team participate in Developer Preview or Beta programs to the Privacy Sandbox.
- Highlight the importance of adapting to your organization’s new Google Privacy Sandbox landscape to ensure stakeholders know about the upcoming changes.
3. Technology will change and evolve.
Publishers such as Meta, Apple, Roku, etc., have their own wealth of first-party data and inbuilt conversion attribution solutions (e.g., conversion APIs, lift testing functions, etc.). Advertisers should experiment with different publishers and channels to test performance.
For example, CTV and programmatic audio may be interesting channels for reaching new or incremental audiences to enable growth or retargeting lapsed users to prevent churn.
Therefore, having a structured testing plan and budget will become even more important as developing a measurement framework built on Attribution, Incrementality Testing, and Media Mix Models to measure performance effectively will become inevitable.
The MMP’s ‘traditional’ role is already moving beyond last-click attribution to new and exciting products such as Data Clean Rooms, Media Mix Modeling, Creative Analytics tools, and more.
Web analytics will also become an added value to the measurement framework, as tools like GA4 contain a wealth of information about how users interact with a website (or multiple domains via cross-domain tracking), an app, or both.
“Signal loss will enable innovation; by leveraging new tools and approaches, we can maintain user privacy while still providing the depth of insight digital marketers rely on. Structured testing and robust measurement frameworks will be essential to navigating these changes successfully.” Dane Buchanan.
4. First-party, digital-first companies are in pole position.
Having access to plenty of first-party customer data will put those who have been at the forefront of digital growth in a strong position over the competition. Digital-first companies already have a huge amount of customer data available and, therefore, a better understanding of customer needs, wants, behavior, lifetime value (LTV), etc. This will enable tactics such as personalization, targeting, and retargeting within their owned properties and help them better understand their user journeys.
Advertisers with a history of first-party data will be at a significant advantage, especially those with a deep understanding of customer behavior and needs. Advertisers may adopt subscription models if they have not done so already to develop their first-party data collection and mining methods, as first-party data are essential for a complete measurement framework.
“Don’t assume just because you have a lot of data that you have a lot of answers. It is essential that brands curate and purposefully collect their data. We’ve had an abundance of data signals for the last ten years and seen many bad data practices emerge. So ensure you have conducted a full data/ tech audit and have a unified customer view with actionable data points.” Dane Buchanan.
5. Contextual targeting will see a renaissance.
Because contextual targeting delivers advertising based on the context of content a consumer is interested in, advertisers can deliver relevant ads without relying on cookies. Advertisers can test advertising strategies that do not rely on a specific browsing history or data webpage content while there is time to do so.
Approaches such as keyword targeting, real-time bidding, and ad placement will enable brands to run relevant and privacy-compliant campaigns. Of course, the level of personalization available is limited, and advertisers must be aware of brand safety issues. Despite this, contextual advertising is a useful tactic for advertisers to test.
“Contextual targeting is where advertising began, and it feels like media has come full circle. Traditional advertising across linear TV, Radio, and Print has never had cookies. Context has always been key. So while we may not see a return to the mad-men era, we should look to more traditional media planning best practices to help guide us as cookies disappear.” Dane Buchanan.
In Summary
Advertisers have opportunities to ensure their measurement methods and frameworks are robust and now have additional time to future-proof their fundamental structures, such as implementing a measurement framework based on the trifecta of Attribution, Incrementality, and Media Mix Models. Advertisers should act now to capitalize on this advantage of more time.
This could mean significant business strategies must change to realize these opportunities. Evaluating and future-proofing measurement should be a priority and may require investment. Advertisers with a thorough knowledge of their customers who are prepared to build comprehensive testing into their plans and have budgeted these changes already have a clear head start.
Further Reading:
How to Measure Digital Marketing Without Cookies
The Growth Marketer’s Measurement Health Check
Why Media Mix Models are the answer to unlocking measurement in a privacy-centric world
App Trends for Growth, Chapter #1: Cookie Deprecation is here
App Trends for Growth, Chapter #2: All About AI, the advantages and challenges for marketers
App Trends for Growth. Chapter #3: Capitalizing on the growing significance of Apple
Watch our Future Proofing Measurement Video series.
Interested in finding out how we ensure holistic media measurement for clients? Watch a series of videos from the Data & Analytics team explaining various elements of their approach to media measurement.
- What is the Measurement Trifecta?
- How Attribution fits into a Measurement Framework
- What is Incrementality Testing
- Attribution & Incrementality Testing, what is the difference?
- The Importance of Media Mix Modeling
- The Importance of a Unified Measurement Framework
- Key Measurement Takeaways
Do you have any questions about measurement solutions, or do you want to hear how we can help your brand grow?